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    Jul 4, 2008

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    The headlines



    Prior: from hero to zero in under a year

    By Will 5 months ago Leave a comment on this post

    I was struck by the Mail on Sunday’s interview with Matt Prior today, and not just because he revealed an Asian cricketer called him “a white dog”. Perhaps it wasn’t wholly necessary to re-write it on Cricinfo but I felt it deserved as wide an audience as possible, and it was a relatively slow news day for UK readers.

    What stood out confirmed to me (if I needed any further proof) just how focussed we all are on sporting figures these days. They are who we aspire to be, in some cases, and at the very least they provide a role model for kids as they wander the streets, pin-pinning themselves on discarded heroin needles and playing chicken on the motorways. Our sportsmen are heroes in an unstable modern world and we expect far too much of them. Poor old Prior - I have a lot of sympathy for him. He came into the side last summer and smacked a very find hundred on debut against a woeful West Indies attack. He was good behind the stumps too, and then it all fell apart.

    In fact, what I noticed (I have no statistical evidence to back this up and am too knackered to look) is the quality of his keeping plummeted as series went on. He would start well - remember, he took some good catches - but whether it was tiredness, or the increased attention or his slipping batting form, his glovework went from slick to slippery. He was emphatically jettisoned by England for their current tour of New Zealand, and is finding his axing a very bitter pill to swallow:

    Prior has been hurt by the very personal attacks - some even coming from the public; one woman wrote him a letter in which she said: “I can’t let my kids watch cricket any more because of the way you behave.”

    “I don’t like the person I am portrayed as being,” he said in an interview with the Mail on Sunday. “When I’ve read the character assassinations, I’ve phoned my family and asked, ‘Is this really me?’”

    I don’t often find much sympathy with sportsmen. They are paid handsomely to play a game, one which they have usually excelled at for most of their lives, but the burning gaze of the media and the public must be unbearable at times. In the Mail it even said that Prior was called an “uneducated, skinhead buffoon” by one newspaper journalist, and clearly he has (wrongly) taken all this to heart, even removing his gold earring in a vague attempt to unshackle the chains of vanity. Well, that would seem to be the intention.

    Can we expect a mullet and corduroys from him this season? Is there any place in the sport for “uneducated, skinhead buffoons”? Will he return to international cricket?

    Incidentally, his rapid sacking sets a dangerous precedent. Clearly the selectors are sick to the back teeth of gloveman, who wear big gloves, dropping simple catches - and this is a fair complaint. But what if Tim Ambrose (what a cruel irony that it was Prior who leapfrogged Ambrose at Sussex) has a shocking tour of New Zealand’s low, slow, dying pitches? Will Phil Mustard replace him for New Zealand’s return trip over here, or will his lack of one-day success count against him?

    Everyone talks highly of Ambrose - he has Australian blood in him, after all. The last glove-wearing convict helped us regain the Ashes in 2005, so perhaps it’s time for another. I just have this nagging feeling Prior’s going to come back - complete with Barnet, pipe and slippers - and prove us all wrong.

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    3 Responses to “Prior: from hero to zero in under a year”

  • BGC wrote:
    February 18th, 2008 at 6.18 am

    The problem is that Prior drops simple catches.

    These are really expensive mistakes (on average) - and more-than-negate a slightly higher batting average.

    Selectors won’t really sort out the wicket-keeping problem until they have a statistical method for measuring wicket keeping perfomance and balancing this against the batting contribution.

    I’ve had a shot at this
    http://the-doosra.blogspot.com/2007_05_01_archive.html

    Basically - the runs used to calculate a wicket keepers batting average should first be adjusted to subtract byes and a penalty for each dropped simple catch.

    If a test match keeper drops a simple catch in an innings when the opposition scores 300, he should have 30 runs subtracted from his batting average calculation. (Ten percent because the bowling side needs to take ten wickets, and a dropped catch means they need to take eleven - which would on average mean they concede another 30 runs.)

    If we has proper stats of this kind we could discoverer whether a keeper who averages (say) 35 but drops a simple catch every five innings (?Prior) is better or worse than a keeper who averages 25 but only drops a simple catch every 50 innings (?Read).

  • Jim wrote:
    February 18th, 2008 at 9.21 pm

    My in-laws take the Mail on Sunday - a rare opportunity for me to read it and this yesterday.

    I don’t get it. England’s selection policy, as far as I can work out, is: 10 games to prove you’re better than Adam Gilchrist. If not, you’re dropped.

  • Rory ffoulkes wrote:
    February 19th, 2008 at 5.57 pm

    A very fine hundred against the Windies? I recall it being something of a bish-bash affair myself

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